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| Re: Should Bears get rid of Grossman? Quote:
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David Carr should be a great quarterback. However, his body and confidence have been pounded since entering the NFL, resulting in him to develop some very bad habits that need correcting as soon as possible. I fear that he is beyond the point of no return, in that the dearth of talent and the relentless beatings he has taken have ruined him. And for the record, I don't think that is his fault either. The Texans have screwed Carr over more than the other way around, like the media seems to believe. They've gone through more schemes than Paris Hilton has one-night stands and management has refused to give him protection. Talent-wise, is Carr better than Grossman? Absolutely, although I don't know if I would be willing to gamble that I could extract the potential he showed coming out of college. On a personal level, I hope Carr gets out of Houston and finds a place where his ship can be righted. He seems like a nice kid and should be commended for the moxie he has shown amidst beatings both on the field and from the fans and media. He deserves a fresh start. |
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| Re: Should Bears get rid of Grossman? Quote:
And if you take Manning as a yard stick...yeah he was pounded, yeah he had bad years on poor teams...and then 7 or 8 years into it, he still has some pro bowl years... Carr will do the same... If the kid was throwing the ball away instead of taking the pounding, you would be critical of his high precentage of interceptions...if he was throwing into coverage instead of dumping, you would be critical of that...if his completition percentage had not risen from 52% to 68%, you would be saying he has not progressed enough ala Eli Manning... So really, the bottom line is, in the face of improvement during adverse season, you still can't find any praise for the kid...I think the only QBs you reserve any prasie for would be the the few you elevate past Favre... The kid is good, the team is bad...say it with me now... |
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By the way, it is really pretty plain to see. Yes, Carr does look gunshy, and yes, he has developed some habits that are less than desirable. Quote:
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Every other line in between...the bad habits...the lack of acknowledging his improvement...the total disregard for both QB rating and comp rating improvement...the attributing a portion of the sacks to him with out acknowledging his int rating is down...need I go on?.... Quote:
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2.) God, I hope his interception numbers are down. The risk of throwing interceptions to safety valves is very slim. Thus, why they are called safety valves. 3.) QB Rating arbitrarily assigns all values of the formula as equal, which may or may not be accurate depending on your view of quarterback. It was a good benchmark in 1973 when it was first conceptualized, but statisticians have their fair share of criticism nowadays. Quote:
Stats are fine as supportive and supplemental evidence, but you are completely neglecting the observation side of the equation. To look solely at a stat sheet is not doing justice to the whole picture. |
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| Re: Should Bears get rid of Grossman? Quote:
Deceiving?...hardly in this case...when everyone is measured by the same yard stick, and every year by the same yard stick... and a QB improves on the given metrics yearly... then the case can be made that the QB is improving...for that much stats do lend themselves well... Quote:
Is he a 70% passer all around?...hardly...has he improved 18% since his rookie year?...Yes...is 18% a pretty good measure that he is improving?...yes...how many passers in the league are 70% passers?...none really...now given that, is David Carr closer to those that are tops in the league or those that are in the bottom when it comes to completing passes?...Top...That much is not debatable. Quote:
You can't pin the fact that his primary targets are covered and he dumps off to bad decision making...but you can indeed point to the fact that he is not throwing bad passes into coverage with his low % interception rating. The number supports the fact that he is making better than average decision by not forcing passes ala Rex...how is that a negative? Quote:
Boy are you really, really, really reaching now... ...the QB rating system may not be perfect, but as long as the whole league is measured by it, it does provide a metric by which QBs can be measured...It correctly penalizes the gunslinger for his interceptions...and awards those that move the yard stick, complete a high percentage of passes and TDs...under this metric is the whole league measured...under this metric Carr keeps improving...those two points cannot be argued. The system is far better than what was in place before hand...it also seems to reward QBs with great seasons like Manning and Brees while penalizing the gun slinging Favre and the inconsistent Vick... Thus to bring it up as a poor metric is but a sign that you are back peddling their my friend...Since you are unable to make the numbers come out in your favor, you then attack and discredit the system...and all the while without proposing a better metric... In a court of law, you would be trying to wow them with words...words that would lack substance... Quote:
Again, you are unable to quantify this claim...as the numbers do not back you...it is strictly opinion...again you disregard the time he has to throw given the line he has...again you disregard the lack of backs he had this season...again you disregard stats...and why?...because you have the sole power of observation...a classic defense... ...a poor one...but classic none the less... Quote:
Ah, but the point was that I do support my argument with facts...I am saying simply, "The stats show he is improving"...a quantifiable argument...you state..."He seems to be regressing to me"...and unquantifiable argument. |
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Again, the completion percent numbers are faulty. I would hope he could make dump off passes to safety valves, he was the first overall pick. Carr is above average accuracy-wise, but he has developed some tendencies. If you fail to at least recognize that, then you are blind to the reality. Quote:
I feel like a broken record. I never faulted him for dumping off. I would rather he do that than let pressure get to him. Generally, Carr makes sound decisions downfield. His field vision has improved since entering the NFL, and he is one of the better ones in that aspect. Quote:
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I decided to look up some statistics. David Carr's rating this year was worse than it was in 2004, if you insist on pounding that statistic as proof of improvement. Along the same lines, his completion percentage previous to this year has never been above 62%, and he actually regressed between 2004 and 2005. His yards per attempt averages are hideous, with his being 6.3 and Rex Grossman's being 6.7. Think those stats are nonsense? Personally, I do. But, I can just as easily spin statistics to support my point of view. Quote:
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The stats I gave above backed up my points perfectly fine. I gave statistical proof of my opinion. |
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| Re: Should Bears get rid of Grossman? Quote:
But hey, I am sure that you and your buddy Kubiak have taken those stats into account as well right?...right?... Then you speak of flaws in the numbers only to conceed later that you do not really know the ins and outs of the QB rating metric as a whole...hmmm...the numbers are flawed, but you do not know the metric all that well...huh?...so pray tell, how are the numbers thus flawed? Quote:
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Given that Carr is penalized for having to dumped off to the backs by the yards per complete...which then is a virtual wash on for the higher % he completes...thus dumping to the backs doesn't get him all that much...follow?...its a trade off at best... Quote:
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But now, if you expand your research and saw the 62.8 and 69.5 of his first two years and the 77.2 of his fourth (when he was sacked an unodly 68 times) you can see that the trend overall is what?...up...which is about all you can asked for from a flawed system...right?...right?... Quote:
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But to answer your question..." I guess if you really do not know the equation (as you say you don't) then yeah, the stats are meaningless...now if you do know the numbers...well then...no...they are not nonsense....have we covered it all?...I would be happy to go through the whole math formula with you...I mean, it would be a whole new thread, but in the name of more analytical and quantitative debates...I am willing...Wait!...don't tell me...who needs numbers, you and your buddy Kubiak have the power of observation...saw it coming mate...the offer stands. See above. Quote:
No, you presented numbers without an analysis of the numbers...you gave numbers in context to two years not a career...you gave numbers without the benefit of studying related variables...such as sacks, the line, the different teams that Dave and Rex played on...you gave numbers without a grasp as how they relate to a QB rating...I can go on and on if you like... I mean, if we are going to talk numbers...pull up a chair and welcome to my world... |
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| Re: Should Bears get rid of Grossman? I don't mean to grind this entertaining debate to a halt, but I would vote for you to start a new thread to explain the QB rating. I have wondered for years how they came up with it. I promise I will be a good student. |
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| Re: Should Bears get rid of Grossman? Quote:
jk azreal............i love having the most info out there to learn from |